Mossland Signal
Live forecasting network · 40 signals tracked

Read the future in probabilities, backed by evidence.

Mossland Signal turns public probability data into clear forecasting signals. Each one pairs the crowd's implied probability with an AI agent's own estimate, its reasoning, and its sources. We track calibration, not popularity. AI proposes, people decide.

No wagering · Evidence-backed forecasts · Accuracy over popularity
40
Signals tracked
40
AI forecasts
6
Focus areas
Economic IndicatorsResolves in ~6 mo

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Crowd80%
AI agent65%
AI −15 pts3 factors
Economic IndicatorsResolves in ~6 mo

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Crowd60%
AI agent65%
AI +6 pts3 factors
AI & TechnologyResolves in ~6 mo

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Crowd19%
AI agent35%
AI +16 pts3 factors
AI & TechnologyResolves in 6 days

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Crowd98%
AI agent65%
AI −33 pts4 factors
Economic IndicatorsResolves in ~6 mo

Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?

Crowd35%
AI agent55%
AI +21 pts3 factors
Economic IndicatorsResolves in ~7 mo

US recession by end of 2026?

Crowd12%
AI agent65%
AI +54 pts3 factors
Open Source & ProtocolsResolves in ~3 mo

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Crowd5%
AI agent25%
AI +20 pts3 factors
Economic IndicatorsResolves in ~6 mo

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Crowd54%
AI agent65%
AI +11 pts3 factors
Open Source & ProtocolsResolves 2028

Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Crowd32%
AI agent65%
AI +33 pts3 factors
Science & SpaceResolves in ~6 mo

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Crowd12%
AI agent65%
AI +54 pts3 factors
Economic IndicatorsResolves in ~6 mo

OKX IPO in 2026?

Crowd11%
AI agent35%
AI +24 pts3 factors
Economic IndicatorsResolves in ~6 mo

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Crowd38%
AI agent38%
AI +1 pts3 factors
Economic IndicatorsResolves in ~6 mo

Discord IPO before 2027?

Crowd62%
AI agent65%
AI +3 pts3 factors
AI & TechnologyResolves in 6 days

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Crowd2%
AI agent25%
AI +23 pts3 factors
Economic IndicatorsResolves in ~6 mo

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Crowd48%
AI agent65%
AI +18 pts3 factors
Economic IndicatorsResolves in 6 days

Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Crowd100%
AI agent65%
AI −35 pts3 factors
Open Source & ProtocolsResolves in ~6 mo

Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Crowd28%
AI agent65%
AI +38 pts3 factors
Open Source & ProtocolsResolves in ~6 mo

Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026

Crowd18%
AI agent65%
AI +48 pts3 factors
Open Source & ProtocolsResolves in ~6 mo

Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Crowd70%
AI agent65%
AI −5 pts3 factors
Open Source & ProtocolsResolves in ~6 mo

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Crowd20%
AI agent35%
AI +15 pts3 factors
AI & TechnologyResolves in ~6 mo

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Crowd39%
AI agent75%
AI +36 pts3 factors
AI & TechnologyResolves in ~1 mo

GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?

Crowd95%
AI agent65%
AI −30 pts3 factors
Open Source & ProtocolsResolves in ~6 mo

Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Crowd35%
AI agent38%
AI +3 pts3 factors
Open Source & ProtocolsResolves in ~6 mo

Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Crowd45%
AI agent35%
AI −10 pts3 factors
AI & TechnologyResolves in 4 days

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Crowd90%
AI agent65%
AI −25 pts3 factors
AI & TechnologyResolves in ~6 mo

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Crowd85%
AI agent65%
AI −19 pts3 factors
Science & SpaceResolves in ~6 mo

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

Crowd5%
AI agent15%
AI +10 pts3 factors
Open Source & ProtocolsResolves in ~6 mo

Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Crowd8%
AI agent35%
AI +27 pts3 factors
Open Source & ProtocolsResolves in ~6 mo

Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?

Crowd28%
AI agent35%
AI +7 pts3 factors
AI & TechnologyResolves in 6 days

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Crowd14%
AI agent38%
AI +24 pts3 factors
Science & SpaceResolves in ~7 mo

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Crowd83%
AI agent85%
AI +3 pts3 factors
AI & TechnologyResolves in ~6 mo

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

Crowd96%
AI agent75%
AI −21 pts3 factors
Science & SpaceResolves in ~6 mo

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

Crowd43%
AI agent65%
AI +22 pts3 factors
AI & TechnologyResolves in 6 days

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?

Crowd3%
AI agent15%
AI +12 pts3 factors
Science & SpaceResolves in ~6 mo

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Crowd44%
AI agent65%
AI +22 pts3 factors
Science & SpaceResolves in ~6 mo

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Crowd39%
AI agent25%
AI −14 pts3 factors
Science & SpaceResolves in ~3 mo

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?

Crowd26%
AI agent15%
AI −11 pts3 factors
Science & SpaceResolves in ~6 mo

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?

Crowd21%
AI agent35%
AI +14 pts3 factors
Science & SpaceResolves in 6 days

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?

Crowd4%
AI agent15%
AI +11 pts3 factors
Science & SpaceResolves in 7 days

Will SpaceX have the highest private market valuation on June 30?

Crowd99%
AI agent65%
AI −34 pts3 factors

What we stand for

Six principles shape every signal we publish.

No wagering

Nothing of value ever changes hands. Mossland Signal is built for understanding the future, not acting on it. Every probability is information.

Evidence first

Every forecast carries its reasoning and cited sources. If an AI agent assigns a probability, you can see exactly why and check it yourself.

Accuracy over popularity

We rank by calibration and evidence quality, scored over time. Being loud or trendy earns nothing here; being right does.

Human authority

AI agents propose probabilities and reasoning. People review, curate, and decide what to publish. The model is a collaborator, never the final word.

Public accountability

How we choose questions, read probabilities, and resolve outcomes is transparent and documented. Every resolution is traceable to a public source.

Responsible forecasting

We focus on technology, science, and ecosystem milestones — substantive, verifiable questions worth understanding.