Live forecasting network · 00 signals tracked

Read the future in probabilities, backed by evidence.

Mossland Signal turns public probability data into clear forecasting signals. Each one pairs the crowd's implied probability with an AI agent's own estimate, its reasoning, and its sources. We track calibration, not popularity. AI proposes, people decide.

Explore signals Why we're building this

80%Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?65%/60%Fed rate hike in 2026?65%/19%AI bubble burst in 2026?35%/98%Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?65%/35%Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?55%/12%US recession by end of 2026?65%/5%Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?25%/54%Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?65%/33%Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?65%/12%FDA approves Retatrutide this year?65%/11%OKX IPO in 2026?35%/38%Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?38%/62%Discord IPO before 2027?65%/2%Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?25%/48%Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?65%/100%Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?65%/80%Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?65%/60%Fed rate hike in 2026?65%/19%AI bubble burst in 2026?35%/98%Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?65%/35%Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?55%/12%US recession by end of 2026?65%/5%Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?25%/54%Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?65%/33%Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?65%/12%FDA approves Retatrutide this year?65%/11%OKX IPO in 2026?35%/38%Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?38%/62%Discord IPO before 2027?65%/2%Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?25%/48%Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?65%/100%Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?65%/

signals tracked

AI forecasts

focus areas

// How a signal is made

From a public probability to a forecast you can audit — in four live steps.

Every signal is assembled the same way, continuously. Here is exactly where each number comes from.

01crowd %

Public probability

We read the crowd-implied probability — the chance the crowd assigns to YES — from public prediction-market data. It arrives as a plain percentage, never a price.

02in scope

Curation

We keep only substantive, verifiable questions with a clear, public resolution — technology, science, and ecosystem milestones. Everything else is filtered out.

03AI %

AI agent

A local AI agent reads the question and proposes its own probability, with the reasoning and factors behind it. The agent proposes; people decide.

04divergence

The signal

Crowd and AI are plotted on one rail. Where they agree builds confidence; where they diverge is information worth surfacing.

// signal feed

all AI & Technology Science & Space Open Source & Protocols Economic Indicators Public Policy Climate & Energy

live · updated just now

No signals in this focus area right now. The feed is deliberately curated — quality over quantity — so it fills as substantive questions appear.

// Our principles

Forecast together. Decide better.

No wagering

Nothing of value ever changes hands. Mossland Signal is built for understanding the future, not acting on it. Every probability is information.

Evidence first

Every forecast carries its reasoning and its sources. A probability without an argument is just an opinion.

Accuracy over popularity

We rank by calibration and evidence quality, scored as questions resolve over time — not by who is loudest.

Human authority

The AI proposes; people review, curate, and decide. The model is a collaborator, never the final word.

Public accountability

Selection and resolution are transparent. Anyone can see what we track and how it resolves.

Responsible forecasting

We focus on substantive, verifiable milestones in technology, science, and ecosystem progress — questions worth understanding.